Oil Prices: Weekly Loss and the Trump-Putin Summit (2025)

The energy market is on edge as the world awaits a pivotal meeting between two powerful leaders. Oil prices are teetering, with a potential weekly loss on the horizon, as the Trump-Putin summit looms over the global energy landscape.

A volatile week ahead? Oil prices took a dip early Friday, indicating a potential weekly decline, amidst the uncertainty surrounding the highly anticipated summit. The meeting, set to take place in Hungary, aims to negotiate an end to the Ukraine war, which has significantly impacted global energy dynamics. But here's the twist: the very announcement of this summit has temporarily eased concerns about energy supply constraints.

Brent crude futures slipped 0.13% to $60.98 per barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures dropped 0.16% to $57.37, as of 0030 GMT. This downward trend is partly attributed to the International Energy Agency's prediction of a supply glut in 2026, which has investors on edge.

A surprise summit: In a surprising development, Trump and Putin agreed to meet, a move that caught many off guard, especially as Moscow had concerns about increased U.S. military aid to Ukraine. The summit, which may take place in Budapest within the next two weeks, could significantly impact the energy market and the ongoing war.

As this news broke, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was en route to the White House to secure additional military aid, including long-range Tomahawk missiles. Meanwhile, the U.S. was urging India and China to halt Russian oil purchases, further complicating the energy landscape.

ANZ analyst Daniel Hynes noted that the Trump-Putin meeting has temporarily alleviated fears of a tighter energy supply. However, the Energy Information Administration's report of a 3.5 million-barrel increase in U.S. crude inventories, surpassing analyst expectations, adds another layer of complexity to the situation.

The bigger picture: The rise in crude inventories can be attributed to refineries reducing their operations for seasonal maintenance. Additionally, U.S. oil production reached a record high of 13.636 million barrels per day, according to the data. These factors contribute to the market's anxiety as it awaits the outcome of the Trump-Putin summit.

In the previous trading session, Brent and U.S. WTI prices hit their lowest since May 5, with Brent falling 1.37% and WTI dropping 1.39%.

As the world watches, the energy market hangs in the balance, with the Trump-Putin summit poised to be a significant turning point. Will it bring an end to the war and stabilize energy supplies, or will it lead to further uncertainty? The coming weeks will be crucial, and the impact on oil prices and global energy dynamics will be closely watched.

Oil Prices: Weekly Loss and the Trump-Putin Summit (2025)

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